02 February 2026
7 trends you can’t ignore from the 2026 eCommerce Report
Explore online shopping trends from the Australia Post eCommerce Report, plus practical takeaways you can use to drive growth now
When COVID-19 shut Australian stores, drove consumers online and disrupted supply chains, Australian retailers were quickly forced to rethink fulfilment. Now, they are reviewing store and online operation investments as we move into recovery. Australia Post supply chain expert Dr Carsten Sengpiehl discusses the advantages and challenges of omnichannel eCommerce fulfilment – and what it takes to make it really work.
Few anticipated the immediate surge in online demand that accompanied the coronavirus lockdown this year. As online sales grew 76% year on year in April, Australia’s retail inventory, fulfilment and distribution models came under extraordinary pressure. Even the market leaders struggled to keep pace with unprecedented demand.
With global supply chains disrupted, pure play online retailers running lean inventory models quickly saw stock levels plummet. This was especially seen with high demand items such as home office and exercise equipment, sanitiser and face masks.
Many bricks and mortar retailers quickly transformed physical stores into ‘dark stores’ or mini fulfilment centres in an effort to keep staff employed, sell inventory that was not available in centralised locations, and move stock that might otherwise gather dust in stores. This quick adjustment to more agile distribution models, as well as the supply chain risks associated with lean inventory and single sourcing, has been a steep learning curve for some.
As we move into the ‘recovery’ phase of the pandemic, changes in shopping behaviour are likely to gather momentum – if past experience is any indication. In the five years following the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), total retail growth fell to 3% by eCommerce grew at 21% – hitting peak growth in 2011 at 30%.
The pressure to manage eCommerce order fulfilment (and the associated inventory) across multiple sites, process orders quickly and handle reverse logistics is likely to increase.
As customers continue to demand greater choice, availability and speed – whether they shop online or in store – omnichannel eCommerce fulfilment models have emerged as a way to deliver goods more effectively and provide the best possible customer experience. For example, omnichannel retailers may invest in a centralised DC to fulfil store deliveries (B2B), a 3PL or dark stores for eCommerce (B2C), and also use physical stores as fulfilment sites.
A ‘hybrid’ approach to fulfilment typically includes two or more of the following fulfilment models.
From small order volumes fulfilled from home or local storage facilities, to medium and large-scale DCs servicing both B2B and B2C volume or optimised eCommerce fulfilment centres, many Australian retailers tend to use a centralised approach.
Advantages
Disadvantages
By setting up multiple state-based DCs, retailers can locate products closer to the end customer. This can help them meet demand for faster delivery – including next day and same day – and potentially reduce the cost of last mile delivery.
Advantages
Disadvantages
Even before coronavirus, some retailers in Australia had experimented with store fulfilment to support a centralised DC or Click and Collect options. However, during the pandemic we’ve seen retailers turn shuttered stores into distribution sites – also known as ‘dark stores’.
In theory, store fulfilment can lead to faster delivery and lower last mile distribution costs. However, without the right technology and processes, end-to-end fulfilment costs could be higher.
Advantages
Disadvantages
As an eCommerce business grows, it can be hard to keep up with orders. Time spent packing boxes and shipping orders can take focus away from other areas of business development. Having a 3PL partner can help save you both time and costs by leveraging their expertise and network.
Advantages
Disadvantages
Some retailers never hold the products they sell online. Instead, when a customer places an order, it’s forwarded to the manufacturer who then delivers directly to the end customer. Many online marketplaces operate this way but it’s less common for traditional bricks and mortar retailers moving into eCommerce market sector.
Advantages
Disadvantages
With growing pressure on retail profit margins, eCommerce fulfilment costs may make or break a business. And last mile delivery costs are just one part of the full cost of fulfilment. Bringing siloed purchasing, sales and operational channels together to achieve a seamless and connected customer experience can be complex. Using data and technology could be the key.
The first step, especially for bricks and mortar retailers, is likely to be overcoming the limitations of legacy systems designed to support traditional distribution models. In store, retail staff need access to accurate inventory data: what’s in store and online, what’s back-ordered and when the next in-bound shipment is due. They need to be able to respond when customers ask them for another size or if a product can be delivered. This is likely to be the next benchmark in customer experience.
For online fulfilment, stock visibility and response times are just as critical. Customers expect to be told when something will be delivered as soon as they click to buy, which demands optimal inventory management processes and location.
From a technological standpoint, systems in an omnichannel environment need to be able to:
More households are shopping online than ever before, and they’re also shopping more frequently. Now’s the time to strengthen your eCommerce fulfilment model to make the most of this opportunity and help set your business up for future growth. And if you can get the balance right between cost, stock control and delivery speed you can help ensure that growth is also more profitable.
This is the first article in a two-part series. Next month, we’ll explore these and other opportunities to optimise omnichannel fulfilment, including safety, lodgement speed, and smarter SKU management.
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The information in the article is based on the analysis of 2018, 2019 and 2020 parcels data recorded by the Australia Post Group.
1 Online Physical Goods Index (Produced by Quantium) March 2020
Author
Carsten Sengpiehl is a senior supply chain professional who is result focused driving performance at strategic and operational level. Before joining Australia Post he was working primarily as a Senior Consultant, Senior Manager and as a Researcher in Asia Pacific and Europe in all areas of supply chain. In his career, Carsten has primarily served private sector clients but also the public sector on strategic and operational logistical topics.
02 February 2026
Explore online shopping trends from the Australia Post eCommerce Report, plus practical takeaways you can use to drive growth now